Monday, 2 February 2026

Why do we listen to Tech CEOs for predictions?

They have clearly a conflict of interest. We assume that they have insight that we don't have. This may be the case - or it is not. But even if they did, why should they tell the truth? They are telling you things that benefit them. If they would not, they would leave the pool of tech CEOs. If the CEO of Anthropic really would believe that Claude Code would replace ALL programmers in 1 year, he would only hand out employment contracts for one year max.

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